SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Bahia |
63.55% ( 0.39) | 20.86% ( -0.27) | 15.59% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.03% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.35% ( 0.95) | 45.65% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.03% ( 0.89) | 67.97% ( -0.89) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.3% ( 0.42) | 13.7% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.07% ( 0.83) | 40.93% ( -0.83) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.97% ( 0.41) | 42.03% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.54% ( 0.36) | 78.46% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.78% Total : 63.54% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.86% | 0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.59% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
