MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 06:13:12
SM
Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool: 5 hrs 16 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
F
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 13, 2024 at 1.45am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
B

Flamengo
1 - 0
Bahia

FT(HT: 0-0)

Xavier (66'), Iago (87'), de Pena (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Bahia
Sunday, September 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Flamengo 1-0 Bahia (Flamengo advance 2-0 on aggregate)

From a psychological standpoint, Flamengo have a decisive edge, advancing beyond this phase of the tournament many times, which is not the case for Bahia. Even with all the injuries at Mengao, having the belief they currently boast can prove invaluable in their quest to lift another major trophy. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawBahia
63.55% (0.394 0.39) 20.86% (-0.274 -0.27) 15.59% (-0.118 -0.12)
Both teams to score 50.03% (0.6 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.35% (0.946 0.95)45.65% (-0.945 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.03% (0.893 0.89)67.97% (-0.89099999999999 -0.89)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.3% (0.422 0.42)13.7% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.07% (0.829 0.83)40.93% (-0.827 -0.83)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.97% (0.415 0.41)42.03% (-0.411 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.54% (0.358 0.36)78.46% (-0.35599999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 63.54%
    Bahia 15.59%
    Draw 20.86%
FlamengoDrawBahia
1-0 @ 11.44% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 11.37% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.54% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.53% (0.112 0.11)
4-0 @ 3.75% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.25% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.08 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.49% (0.054 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.06 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.29% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 63.54%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.235 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.86%
0-1 @ 4.99% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-2 @ 4.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.24% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 15.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Flamengo
Sunday, September 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, August 29 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Bragantino
Monday, August 26 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bolivar 1-0 Flamengo
Friday, August 23 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 4-1 Flamengo
Sunday, August 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Bolivar
Friday, August 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Bahia
Sunday, September 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, August 29 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Bahia 0-0 Botafogo
Sunday, August 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Bahia
Saturday, August 17 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Vitoria
Sunday, August 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Botafogo
Wednesday, August 7 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .