Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 51.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
-0.13) 
0.04) 
