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Brasileiro | Gameweek 26
Sep 15, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
AM

Bahia
3 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Stum (51'), Ribeiro (58'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Kanu (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gomes (22'), Everson (82'), Deyverson (90+1')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Bahia
Friday, September 13 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawAtletico Mineiro
38.47% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 28.22% (0.064 0.06) 33.31% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.91% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.76% (-0.227 -0.23)59.23% (0.223 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.35% (-0.175 -0.18)79.65% (0.17 0.17)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.16% (-0.17099999999999 -0.17)29.84% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08% (-0.205 -0.2)65.92% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)33.14% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (-0.105 -0.1)69.74% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 38.47%
    Atletico Mineiro 33.31%
    Draw 28.21%
BahiaDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.95% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 38.47%
1-1 @ 13.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.89% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 10.92% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.03% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Bahia
Friday, September 13 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Bahia
Sunday, September 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, August 29 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Bahia 0-0 Botafogo
Sunday, August 25 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Bahia
Saturday, August 17 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Vitoria
Sunday, August 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Sao Paulo
Friday, September 13 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Gremio 2-3 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, August 29 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-2 Fluminense
Sunday, August 25 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, August 21 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Cuiaba
Saturday, August 17 at 8pm in Brasileiro


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