Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 42.22%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 28.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
-0.28) 
0.18) 
