While surprises are part and parcel of the game, Saturday's game between Cuiaba and Atletico should go according to form.
Petit's men are in high spirits following their upswing after a dispiriting start, while Ventura's side have oscillated between good and bad in their opening 10 games. Thus, backing the hosts for a marginal home success seems the best bet for the gameweek 11 clash.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
0.38) 
-0.52) 
