Four of the six league meetings between Sao Paulo and Cuiaba have ended in stalemates, with both clubs sharing a win apiece. A fifth draw could be on the cards, as Petit's men carry a different kind of threat having scored 11 times in their last three matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 14.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
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