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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 16, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Pantanal
F

Cuiaba
5 - 0
Fortaleza

Clayson (3'), Ramon (11'), Cafu (37'), Pitta (45+10'), Sobral (54' pen.)
Max (32')
Petit (45+8')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Lopes (34'), Britez (45+3'), Welison (64')
Kayzer (45+1'), Britez (45+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, June 13 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Fortaleza
Friday, June 14 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Cuiaba 1-2 Fortaleza

Considering that Fortaleza have had a much better start to the season and have lost just once in the Brasileiro this season, they could prove too strong for relegation threatened Cuiaba. However, neither side have been particularly prolific in front of goal this campaign having only scored six goals each, so the game on Sunday could be a closely fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 47.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.

Result
CuiabaDrawFortaleza
47.42% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 26.3% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04) 26.28% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.1% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.16% (0.188 0.19)54.84% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.86% (0.154 0.15)76.14% (-0.155 -0.16)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (0.065999999999988 0.07)23.13% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01% (0.097000000000001 0.1)56.99% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.87% (0.16 0.16)36.13% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.09% (0.163 0.16)72.91% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Cuiaba 47.41%
    Fortaleza 26.28%
    Draw 26.29%
CuiabaDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 47.41%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.36% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.34% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 26.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, June 13 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 2-5 Cuiaba
Sunday, June 9 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-0 Vitoria
Thursday, June 6 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-1 Internacional
Saturday, June 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Lanus 0-1 Cuiaba
Wednesday, May 29 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-0 Goias (1-3 pen.)
Thursday, May 23 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Fortaleza
Friday, June 14 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 2 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Sportivo Trinidense
Thursday, May 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Vasco 3-3 Fortaleza (5-4 pen.)
Wednesday, May 22 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-1 Fortaleza
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Botafogo
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro


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