Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.79%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
-0.48) 
0.23) 
