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Nations League | League B
Oct 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Epet Arena
AN

Czech Republic
2 - 0
Albania

Chory (3', 63')
Hlozek (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Daku (44'), Mendes Campos Junior (45')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Czech Republic 3-2 Ukraine
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Albania 0-1 Georgia
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Czech Republic 2-1 Albania

Approaching the midpoint of this Nations League campaign, there is plenty at stake: winning Group 1 offers a potential route into the next World Cup. As Albania do not tend to travel well, Czech Republic should continue their scoring streak on home turf, and victory will put them back in the hunt for top spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Albania had a probability of 13.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Albania win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.

Result
Czech RepublicDrawAlbania
66.4% (-0.199 -0.2) 20.41% (0.137 0.14) 13.19% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 45.41% (-0.249 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.39% (-0.431 -0.43)48.61% (0.431 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.27% (-0.393 -0.39)70.73% (0.393 0.39)
Czech Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.23% (-0.194 -0.19)13.77% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.93% (-0.386 -0.39)41.07% (0.386 0.39)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.66% (-0.169 -0.17)47.34% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.26% (-0.127 -0.13)82.74% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Czech Republic 66.4%
    Albania 13.19%
    Draw 20.41%
Czech RepublicDrawAlbania
1-0 @ 12.92% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 12.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.47% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.2% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.67% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.25% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 66.4%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.115 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.58% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 20.41%
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.063 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.61% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.82% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 13.19%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Czech Republic 3-2 Ukraine
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Georgia 4-1 Czech Republic
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Czech Republic 1-2 Turkey
Wednesday, June 26 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Georgia 1-1 Czech Republic
Saturday, June 22 at 2pm in European Championship
Last Game: Portugal 2-1 Czech Republic
Tuesday, June 18 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Czech Republic 2-1 N. Macedonia
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Albania 0-1 Georgia
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 1-2 Albania
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Albania 0-1 Spain
Monday, June 24 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Croatia 2-2 Albania
Wednesday, June 19 at 2pm in European Championship
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Albania
Saturday, June 15 at 8pm in European Championship
Last Game: Albania 3-1 Azerbaijan
Friday, June 7 at 6pm in International Friendlies


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