SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 8 | -10 | 8 |
| 5 | Malta | 8 | -18 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 90.35%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 2.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 4-0 (11.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.39%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Czech Republic | Draw | North Macedonia |
90.35% ( 0.11) | 7.13% ( -0.01) | 2.52% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 36.71% ( -1.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.18% ( -0.92) | 25.82% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.02% ( -1.2) | 45.98% ( 1.19) |
| Czech Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.62% ( -0.12) | 3.37% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.19% ( -0.39) | 14.8% ( 0.39) |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38% ( -1.52) | 62% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.36% ( -0.75) | 91.64% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Czech Republic | Draw | North Macedonia |
| 3-0 @ 13.57% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.46)4-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.21)5-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.18)6-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.16)7-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.11)7-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.07)8-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.51% Total : 90.34% | 1-1 @ 3.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.27% Total : 7.13% | 0-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 2.52% |
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