Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | England | 5 | 14 | 13 |
2 | Italy | 5 | 6 | 10 |
3 | Ukraine | 6 | 1 | 10 |
4 | North Macedonia | 6 | -7 | 7 |
5 | Malta | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 15.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.
Result | ||
North Macedonia | Draw | Armenia |
62.69% (![]() | 21.58% (![]() | 15.73% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.59% (![]() | 48.41% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.45% (![]() | 70.54% (![]() |
North Macedonia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.15% (![]() | 14.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.82% (![]() | 43.17% (![]() |
Armenia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.48% (![]() | 43.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.27% (![]() | 79.72% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
North Macedonia | Draw | Armenia |
1-0 @ 12.32% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.75% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.78% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.47% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.22% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.56% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.31% Total : 62.68% | 1-1 @ 10.25% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.07% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 21.57% | 0-1 @ 5.38% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 1.54% Total : 15.73% |
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