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Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
VW

Dallas
1 - 3
Vancouver

Lletget (40')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Laborda (25'), White (29'), Picault (42')
Gauld (32')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Dallas
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

The Caps always seem to play well in Frisco, and given the fact they have a relatively healthy squad, who are a lot more familiar with each other, we are leaning towards them claiming another three points away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawVancouver Whitecaps
40.94% (-0.407 -0.41) 25.38% (0.33 0.33) 33.68% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.92% (-1.124 -1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18% (-1.466 -1.47)47.82% (1.462 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.99% (-1.366 -1.37)70% (1.361 1.36)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (-0.84 -0.84)23.19% (0.835 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.92% (-1.241 -1.24)57.08% (1.236 1.24)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (-0.663 -0.66)27.19% (0.658 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (-0.869 -0.87)62.61% (0.864 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 40.94%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 33.68%
    Draw 25.38%
DallasDrawVancouver Whitecaps
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.329 0.33)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.74% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 40.94%
1-1 @ 12% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.374 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.21% (0.342 0.34)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.35% (0.127 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 33.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Dallas
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-2 Montreal
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Inter Miami
Monday, January 22 at 11pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Seattle 1-0 Dallas
Saturday, November 11 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 3-1 Seattle
Sunday, November 5 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-2 Vancouver
Sunday, March 10 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Tigres 3-0 Vancouver
Thursday, February 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Vancouver 1-1 Tigres
Thursday, February 8 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Vancouver 0-1 Los Angeles
Monday, November 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 5-2 Vancouver
Sunday, October 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer


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