Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
Result | ||
Dallas | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
43.28% ( -0.01) | 25.9% ( -0) | 30.82% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.17% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.08% ( 0.01) | 50.92% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.21% ( 0.01) | 72.79% ( -0.01) |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% ( 0) | 23.4% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% ( 0) | 57.38% |
Seattle Sounders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.41% ( 0.02) | 30.6% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.17% ( 0.02) | 66.83% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Dallas | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2% Total : 43.27% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.48% 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.82% |
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