SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 55.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 21.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
55.8% ( 0.79) | 22.74% ( -0.3) | 21.46% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 54.79% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.27% ( 0.73) | 44.73% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.91% ( 0.7) | 67.09% ( -0.7) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.13% ( 0.53) | 15.87% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.92% ( 0.97) | 45.08% ( -0.97) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.12% ( -0.06) | 34.88% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.38% ( -0.06) | 71.62% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.44% Total : 55.79% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.02% Total : 21.46% |
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