SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | -1 | 17 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 14 | 1 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Dallas |
44.26% ( 0.02) | 25.48% ( 0.01) | 30.27% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.24% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.61% ( -0.03) | 49.4% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% ( -0.02) | 71.44% ( 0.03) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( -0) | 22.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.27% ( -0.01) | 55.73% ( 0.01) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.79% ( -0.03) | 30.21% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.63% ( -0.03) | 66.37% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.27% |
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