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Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
SJ

Dallas
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Illarramendi (25'), Sealy (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kikanovic (6')
Gruezo (21'), Rodrigues (45')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Inter Miami
Monday, January 22 at 11pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Kansas 0-0 Earthquakes (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, October 26 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

In an opening match of the season which could be quite cagey, Dallas having home-field advantage could make all the difference on Saturday night. The Toros will be raring to unleash record-signing Musa on MLS, and we reckon that the Portuguese attacker will have a winning start to life in North America. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dallas in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dallas.

Result
DallasDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
42.04% (0.435 0.44) 26.33% (0.136 0.14) 31.62% (-0.569 -0.57)
Both teams to score 52.12% (-0.63800000000001 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57% (-0.728 -0.73)52.42% (0.73 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (-0.629 -0.63)74.1% (0.631 0.63)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-0.102 -0.1)24.67% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.79% (-0.145 -0.15)59.2% (0.148 0.15)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.752 -0.75)30.8% (0.753 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.896 -0.9)67.08% (0.898 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 42.03%
    San Jose Earthquakes 31.62%
    Draw 26.33%
DallasDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.168 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 42.03%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 31.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Inter Miami
Monday, January 22 at 11pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Seattle 1-0 Dallas
Saturday, November 11 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 3-1 Seattle
Sunday, November 5 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 2-0 Dallas
Tuesday, October 31 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-4 Dallas
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Colorado
Sunday, October 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 0-0 Earthquakes (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, October 26 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Austin
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Earthquakes
Thursday, September 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer


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