Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 74.05%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 11.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 3-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.28%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
Result | ||
De Graafschap | Draw | TOP Oss |
74.05% ( -0.18) | 14.72% ( 0.09) | 11.22% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 60.42% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.55% ( -0.17) | 26.44% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.22% ( -0.22) | 46.78% ( 0.22) |
De Graafschap Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.89% ( -0.07) | 6.1% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.83% ( -0.19) | 23.17% ( 0.2) |
TOP Oss Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.35% ( 0.03) | 35.65% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.57% ( 0.03) | 72.42% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
De Graafschap | Draw | TOP Oss |
2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.22% 5-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 4.25% Total : 74.05% | 1-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 14.72% | 1-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 11.22% |
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