Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 58.76%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.12%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (5.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De Graafschap	Draw	Jong PSV
58.76% ( -1.45)	18.96% ( 0.39)	22.28% ( 1.06)

Both teams to score 70.03% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.48% (

-0.51)

25.51% (

0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.41% (

-0.66)

45.59% (

0.66)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.15% (

-0.46)

8.85% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.68% (

-1.14)

30.32% (

1.14)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.83% (

0.49)

23.16% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.96% (

0.71)

57.04% (

-0.71)

Score Analysis

De Graafschap 58.76%

Jong PSV 22.28%

Draw 18.96%

De Graafschap	Draw	Jong PSV
2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.14) 4-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.11) Other @ 4.72% Total : 58.76%	1-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.96%	1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 3% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.94% Total : 22.28%