Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.98%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
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