SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Vitesse |
46.92% ( -0.04) | 23.9% ( 0.02) | 29.19% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.92% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.03% ( -0.07) | 42.97% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.63% ( -0.07) | 65.37% ( 0.07) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.5% ( -0.05) | 18.5% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.29% ( -0.07) | 49.71% ( 0.08) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( -0.02) | 27.7% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.74% ( -0.02) | 63.26% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 46.92% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.19% |
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