SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.85%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Vitesse |
41.07% ( 0.02) | 22.6% ( -0.01) | 36.32% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 66.78% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.08% ( 0.04) | 33.92% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.22% ( 0.05) | 55.77% ( -0.05) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.77% ( 0.03) | 17.23% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.47% ( 0.04) | 47.52% ( -0.05) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.68% ( 0.01) | 19.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.92% ( 0.02) | 51.07% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.08% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 41.07% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.34% 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.32% |
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