SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 61.28%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 19.54% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 3-1 (7.33%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Jong Ajax |
61.28% ( 0.73) | 19.17% ( 0.02) | 19.54% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 64.51% ( -1.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.38% ( -1.28) | 30.62% ( 1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.06% ( -1.55) | 51.94% ( 1.55) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.22% ( -0.2) | 9.78% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.48% ( -0.47) | 32.51% ( 0.47) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( -1.45) | 28.49% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.73% ( -1.85) | 64.26% ( 1.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.4)3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.07)4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.81% Total : 61.28% | 1-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.4% Total : 19.17% | 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.2% Total : 19.54% |
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