SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Dender had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Dender win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dender | Draw | Charleroi |
32.38% ( 0.04) | 25.57% ( -0) | 42.05% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51% ( 0.03) | 49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.91% ( 0.02) | 71.08% ( -0.02) |
| Dender Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( 0.04) | 28.59% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.6% ( 0.05) | 64.39% ( -0.04) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( -0) | 23.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.96% ( -0.01) | 57.04% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dender | Draw | Charleroi |
| 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.38% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.05% |
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