SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Charleroi in this match.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Kortrijk |
46.05% ( 0.16) | 26.47% ( -0.06) | 27.48% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.48% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.22% ( 0.16) | 54.78% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.91% ( 0.13) | 76.09% ( -0.13) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( 0.15) | 23.74% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.12% ( 0.21) | 57.88% ( -0.21) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.89% ( 0.01) | 35.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.14% ( 0.01) | 71.86% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Kortrijk |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.67% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 27.48% |
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