SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 37.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (5.48%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Charleroi |
37.48% ( 0.75) | 23.78% ( 0.15) | 38.74% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 62.32% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.24% ( -0.68) | 39.76% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.88% ( -0.72) | 62.12% ( 0.72) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( 0.07) | 21.36% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.67% ( 0.11) | 54.33% ( -0.1) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( -0.72) | 20.75% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.62% ( -1.14) | 53.38% ( 1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.48% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.88% Total : 38.74% |
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