SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 0-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union SG in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Charleroi |
53.7% ( -3.62) | 23.1% ( 0.83) | 23.2% ( 2.78) |
| Both teams to score 55.92% ( 1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.66% ( -0.34) | 44.33% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.29% ( -0.33) | 66.7% ( 0.33) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.54% ( -1.35) | 16.45% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.85% ( -2.49) | 46.15% ( 2.49) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.94% ( 2.43) | 33.05% ( -2.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.35% ( 2.6) | 69.65% ( -2.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Charleroi |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.72)3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.35)3-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.7)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.29)4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.45)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.7% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.58)0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.46)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.34)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.24)Other @ 2.38% Total : 23.2% |
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