SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Denmark | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | -28 | 0 |
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 | Belarus | 10 | -5 | 12 |
| 5 | Kosovo | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Andorra | 10 | -17 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 16.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Switzerland win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Denmark | Draw | Switzerland |
61.8% ( -0.69) | 21.31% ( 0.36) | 16.89% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 51.42% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.74% ( -0.98) | 45.26% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.4% ( -0.95) | 67.6% ( 0.95) |
| Denmark Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.89% ( -0.52) | 14.11% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.27% ( -1.04) | 41.73% ( 1.04) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.86% ( -0.18) | 40.14% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.22% ( -0.16) | 76.78% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Denmark | Draw | Switzerland |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.73% Total : 61.79% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.31% | 0-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 16.89% |
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