SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 9 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 9 | -2 | 12 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 9 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Belarus | 9 | -6 | 9 |
| 6 | Andorra | 9 | -15 | 2 |
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 9 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 9 | -2 | 12 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 9 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Belarus | 9 | -6 | 9 |
| 6 | Andorra | 9 | -15 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Romania | Draw | Switzerland |
46.56% ( -0.55) | 24.16% ( 0.25) | 29.28% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 58.08% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.89% ( -0.99) | 44.11% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.51% ( -0.97) | 66.49% ( 0.97) |
| Romania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.9% ( -0.61) | 19.1% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.29% ( -1.02) | 50.71% ( 1.02) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( -0.3) | 28.21% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.08% ( -0.38) | 63.91% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Romania | Draw | Switzerland |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.24% Total : 46.56% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.28% |
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