SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | Romania | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Israel | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | Belarus | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 6 | Andorra | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | Romania | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Israel | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | Belarus | 4 | -6 | 3 |
| 6 | Andorra | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 45%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kosovo | Draw | Switzerland |
45% ( -0.04) | 25.79% ( 0.02) | 29.21% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.8% ( -0.07) | 51.2% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.96% ( -0.06) | 73.04% ( 0.06) |
| Kosovo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( -0.05) | 22.7% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.65% ( -0.07) | 56.36% ( 0.08) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.11% ( -0.01) | 31.9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.66% ( -0.02) | 68.34% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kosovo | Draw | Switzerland |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 45% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.21% |
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