SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 6 | 12 | 14 |
| 2 | Romania | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Israel | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Belarus | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 6 | Andorra | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 6 | 12 | 14 |
| 2 | Romania | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Israel | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Belarus | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 6 | Andorra | 7 | -10 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 75.13%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 7.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.15%) and 3-0 (11.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Switzerland | Draw | Belarus |
75.13% ( -0.04) | 16.96% ( 0.02) | 7.91% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 37.6% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.55% ( -0.05) | 48.45% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.42% ( -0.04) | 70.58% ( 0.04) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.77% ( -0.02) | 11.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.21% ( -0.05) | 35.79% ( 0.05) |
| Belarus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.35% ( 0.01) | 57.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.6% ( 0) | 89.4% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Switzerland | Draw | Belarus |
| 2-0 @ 15.47% 1-0 @ 14.15% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.21% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.71% 5-1 @ 1.49% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 75.11% | 1-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 16.96% | 0-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)0-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.21% Total : 7.91% |
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