SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 8 | 12 | 16 |
| 2 | Romania | 8 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Israel | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Belarus | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 6 | Andorra | 8 | -14 | 2 |
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland | 8 | 12 | 16 |
| 2 | Romania | 8 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Israel | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 8 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Belarus | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 6 | Andorra | 8 | -14 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Kosovo win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Switzerland | Draw | Kosovo |
62.44% ( -0.06) | 21.75% ( 0.03) | 15.8% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.72% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( -0.05) | 48.99% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.92% ( -0.04) | 71.08% ( 0.04) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.88% ( -0.04) | 15.12% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.31% ( -0.07) | 43.69% ( 0.07) |
| Kosovo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.23% ( 0.01) | 43.77% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.06% ( 0.01) | 79.94% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Switzerland | Draw | Kosovo |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.81% 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 62.44% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.75% | 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 1.52% Total : 15.8% |
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