Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 47.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Deportes Tolima had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Deportes Tolima win it was 1-0 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.04) 
