Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 16.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
2.56) 
-0.79) 
