Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Sao Paulo
31.55% ( 2.29)	27.75% ( -0.64)	40.7% ( -1.64)

Both teams to score 47.82% (

2.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.11% (

2.95)

57.89% (

-2.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.4% (

2.27)

78.6% (

-2.27)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.33% (

3.3)

33.67% (

-3.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.68% (

3.43)

70.32% (

-3.43)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.09% (

0.51)

27.9% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.48% (

0.64)

63.52% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 31.54%

Sao Paulo 40.7%

Draw 27.74%

Botafogo	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.56) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.28) Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.54%	1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( -1.11) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.42) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.74%	0-1 @ 11.99% ( -1.22) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.66) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.82% Total : 40.7%