SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-21s win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for West Bromwich Albion Under-21s had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.33%) and 3-2 (4.71%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | West Bromwich Albion Under-21s |
43.04% ( 0.17) | 21.42% ( -0) | 35.54% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 71.27% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.95% ( -0.04) | 28.05% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.2% ( -0.05) | 48.8% ( 0.05) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.9% ( 0.04) | 14.1% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.28% ( 0.09) | 41.72% ( -0.09) |
| West Bromwich Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.98% ( -0.09) | 17.02% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.83% ( -0.17) | 47.16% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | West Bromwich Albion Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.71% ( 0)1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 43.04% | 1-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.22% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.42% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 4.25% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 35.54% |
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