SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 71.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 9.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.38%) and 0-3 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 1-0 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
9.49% ( 0.04) | 19.3% ( 0.07) | 71.2% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 37.24% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.98% ( -0.14) | 53.01% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.39% ( -0.12) | 74.61% ( 0.12) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.14% ( 0) | 56.85% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.04% ( 0) | 88.96% ( -0) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.31% ( -0.08) | 13.68% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.09% ( -0.15) | 40.9% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Torpedo-BelAZ |
| 1-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.39% Total : 9.49% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.45% Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.3% | 0-1 @ 15.47% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 15.38% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 10.2% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 8.69% 1-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 5.07% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 71.19% |
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