SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Wrexham |
33.98% ( -0.11) | 25.68% ( -0.02) | 40.34% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.98% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.93% ( 0.07) | 49.07% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.85% ( 0.07) | 71.14% ( -0.06) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.38% ( -0.03) | 27.62% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.84% ( -0.04) | 63.15% ( 0.04) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.96% ( 0.1) | 24.04% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.69% ( 0.14) | 58.31% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.98% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 9.46% 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.34% |
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