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League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
MT

Wrexham
2 - 0
Mansfield

Mullin (32', 67' pen.)
McClean (3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Clarke (45'), Reed (69'), Lewis (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 Wrexham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 23 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Mansfield Town

This promises to be a closely contested game due to how much is on the line when it comes to the League Two promotion battle, and their previous encounters this season have showcased that there is little to split them. However, with Wrexham boasting a home advantage and the confidence that Mansfield has been unable to beat them this season, it could be Parkinson's men that edges this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawMansfield Town
41.43% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16) 24.51% (0.081 0.08) 34.05% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.05% (-0.271 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21% (-0.362 -0.36)43.79% (0.36 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.82% (-0.355 -0.35)66.18% (0.352 0.35)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)21.21% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.89% (-0.359 -0.36)54.1% (0.355 0.35)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.126 -0.13)25.05% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)59.73% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 41.43%
    Mansfield Town 34.05%
    Draw 24.51%
WrexhamDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.43%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.031999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.09% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 Wrexham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 0-1 Tranmere
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 0-0 Harrogate
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 Wrexham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 4-0 Accrington
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Wrexham
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 23 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-5 Mansfield
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-1 Mansfield
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 3-2 Swindon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 MK Dons
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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