SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Mansfield Town |
41.43% ( -0.16) | 24.51% ( 0.08) | 34.05% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.05% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.21% ( -0.36) | 43.79% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.82% ( -0.35) | 66.18% ( 0.35) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.79% ( -0.23) | 21.21% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.89% ( -0.36) | 54.1% ( 0.35) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( -0.13) | 25.05% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.27% ( -0.17) | 59.73% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.43% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.05% |
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