Wrexham have certainly enjoyed the much stronger season of the two sides and boast more quality throughout their squad, but Grimsby come in with plenty of momentum and are growing in confidence under Artell while their visitors may be faltering slightly, and we can envisage the points being shared at Blundell Park as a result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
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