Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 16.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.45%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
