Dumbarton
0 - 1
Edinburgh

(Dumbarton win 3-2 on aggregate)

FT(HT: 0-0)

See (52')
Henderson (8'), Hamilton (45+1'), Campbell (77')
Henderson (58')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Scottish League One Playoffs Final clash between Dumbarton and Edinburgh City.

The Match

Match Report

Dumbarton retain League One place despite second-leg defeat to Edinburgh

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Edinburgh City in this match.

Result
Dumbarton	Draw	Edinburgh City
28.68%	28.05%	43.28%

Both teams to score 45.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.11%

59.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.84%

80.15%

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.08%

36.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.29%

73.7%

Edinburgh City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54%

27.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.06%

62.94%

Score Analysis

Dumbarton 28.67%

Edinburgh City 43.28%

Draw 28.04%

Dumbarton	Draw	Edinburgh City
1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 6.51% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.81% Total : 28.67%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.04%	0-1 @ 13.1% 0-2 @ 8.47% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-3 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.18% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.82% Total : 43.28%