Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Edinburgh City in this match.
