Edinburgh
1 - 3
Dumbarton

(Dumbarton win 3-2 on aggregate)

McIntyre (44')
Thomson (58'), Black (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McGeever (53'), Brindley (66'), Neill (82')
Brindley (71')

The Match

Match Report

Ross Forbes sets up Dumbarton for play-off victory over Edinburgh City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Edinburgh City	Draw	Dumbarton
54.44%	24.68%	20.88%

Both teams to score 47.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.63%

53.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.09%

74.91%

Edinburgh City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.45%

19.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.55%

51.45%

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.63%

40.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.01%

76.99%

Score Analysis

Edinburgh City 54.44%

Dumbarton 20.88%

Draw 24.68%

Edinburgh City	Draw	Dumbarton
1-0 @ 12.88% 2-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 5.19% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.84% Total : 54.44%	1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 7.16% 1-2 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.28% Total : 20.88%