SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Ferencvaros |
31.98% ( 5.6) | 27.84% ( 2.56) | 40.17% ( -8.16) |
| Both teams to score 47.68% ( -4.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.87% ( -7.32) | 58.13% ( 7.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.21% ( -6.1) | 78.79% ( 6.1) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% ( 0.38) | 33.49% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.88% ( 0.42) | 70.12% ( -0.42) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.68% ( -7.28) | 28.32% ( 7.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.96% ( -10.21) | 64.04% ( 10.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Ferencvaros |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( 2.66) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.65)2-0 @ 5.67% ( 1.5)3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.56)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.98% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 1.06) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( 2.36)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.56)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.86) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -1.12)0-2 @ 7.55% ( -1.11)1-3 @ 3.47% ( -1.4)0-3 @ 3.18% ( -1.32)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.74)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.8)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.75)Other @ 1.76% Total : 40.17% |
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