SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 57.89%. A win for Debrecen had a probability of 21.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8%) and 1-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Debrecen win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Debrecen |
57.89% ( 2.38) | 20.71% ( 0) | 21.4% ( -2.39) |
| Both teams to score 61.84% ( -3.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.6% ( -3.05) | 35.4% ( 3.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.56% ( -3.46) | 57.44% ( 3.45) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.89% ( -0.31) | 12.11% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.32% ( -0.66) | 37.68% ( 0.66) |
| Debrecen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% ( -3.67) | 29.64% ( 3.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.31% ( -4.7) | 65.68% ( 4.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Debrecen |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 8% ( 1)1-0 @ 7.58% ( 1.03)3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.64)3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.37)4-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.31)4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.22)5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.12)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.47% Total : 57.89% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.45)0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.53)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.35)Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.71% | 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.35) 0-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.46)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.4)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.03% Total : 21.4% |
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