SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| East Kilbride | Draw | Ayr United |
31.02% ( 0) | 23.22% ( -0.01) | 45.75% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.48% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.23% ( 0.03) | 38.77% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.92% ( 0.03) | 61.08% ( -0.03) |
| East Kilbride Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% ( 0.01) | 24.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.13% ( 0.02) | 58.86% ( -0.02) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.68% ( 0.01) | 17.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.32% ( 0.02) | 47.68% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Kilbride | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-1 @ 7.37% 1-0 @ 5.96% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.02% | 1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 9.17% 0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.36% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 3.78% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 4.06% Total : 45.75% |
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