SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
44.57% ( -1.15) | 25.41% ( 0.38) | 30.02% ( 0.77) |
| Both teams to score 54.34% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( -1.25) | 49.21% ( 1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( -1.14) | 71.28% ( 1.15) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.94% ( -1.04) | 22.06% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.6% ( -1.6) | 55.4% ( 1.61) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% ( -0.09) | 30.29% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.53% ( -0.12) | 66.47% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.31% Total : 44.56% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.02% |
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