SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastbourne Borough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Aveley |
41.16% ( -0.09) | 25.43% ( 0.16) | 33.41% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.9% ( -0.71) | 48.09% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.74% ( -0.65) | 70.25% ( 0.64) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% ( -0.35) | 23.2% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.9% ( -0.52) | 57.1% ( 0.51) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.5% ( -0.39) | 27.5% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37% ( -0.5) | 62.99% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Aveley |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.1% Total : 41.16% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.41% |
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