SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 55.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastbourne Borough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Welling United |
55.24% ( -0.01) | 23.33% | 21.42% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.8% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.65% ( 0.02) | 47.35% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.43% ( 0.02) | 69.57% ( -0.02) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83% ( 0) | 17% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.88% ( 0.01) | 47.12% ( -0.01) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.61% ( 0.02) | 36.39% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.82% ( 0.02) | 73.18% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.8% 3-0 @ 5.74% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.57% 4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.06% Total : 55.24% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 6.25% 1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 21.42% |
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