SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 51.42%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Welling United |
51.42% ( -0.04) | 23.17% ( 0.01) | 25.41% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.22% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.54% ( -0.03) | 42.46% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.13% ( -0.03) | 64.86% ( 0.04) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.41% ( -0.03) | 16.59% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.61% ( -0.05) | 46.39% ( 0.05) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.79% ( 0) | 30.2% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.64% ( 0.01) | 66.36% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Welling United |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.09% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 51.42% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 25.41% |
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