SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Chippenham Town | 7 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Eastbourne Borough | 7 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Tonbridge Angels | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Braintree Town | 7 | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Welling United | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Bath City | 7 | 4 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 51.78%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Welling United |
51.78% ( 0.08) | 23.02% ( -0.07) | 25.19% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.49% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.01% ( 0.3) | 41.99% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.6% ( 0.3) | 64.39% ( -0.3) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.71% ( 0.14) | 16.29% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.15% ( 0.25) | 45.84% ( -0.25) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% ( 0.15) | 30.12% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.73% ( 0.18) | 66.26% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Welling United |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.78% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 25.19% |
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